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Geographic dispersion
One of the wind community mantras is that the “wind
is always blowing somewhere.” Intuitively this suggest
that long distance transmission may turn intermittent wind into a constant
reliable power source. We agree that geographic dispersion of wind plants reduces wind
variability. The question is whether geographic
dispersion increases wind system capacity? Does geographic dispersion reduce
the need for backup generators?
We addressed this question using the capacity
techniques developed in the Wind System Reliability and Capacity
Papers. Both MISO and PJM publish hourly wind
production data. PJM is the largest independent System Operator in terms of
power consumption and MISO is the largest in terms of geographic area. The Long Distance
Transmission paper scales PJM and MISO wind data
and then combines them, taking careful account of correct time alignment, to see if the
combined system would have more capacity than either stand
alone system. The answer is yes it does but the difference is small, a
fraction of 1%. For practical purposes, the combination of PJM and MISO would
have negligible impact on the need for backup generation.